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Robert Lucas Jr.

American economist (1937–2023)

Robert Emerson Lucas Jr. (September 15, 1937 – May 15, 2023) was an American economist at the University of Chicago. Widely regarded as the central figure in the development of the new classical approach to macroeconomics,[1] he received the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences in 1995 "for having developed and applied the hypothesis of rational expectations, and thereby having transformed macroeconomic analysis and deepened our understanding of economic policy".[2][3]N. Gregory Mankiw characterized him as "the most influential macroeconomist of the last quarter of the 20th century".[4] In 2020, he ranked as the 10th most cited economist in the world.[5]

Early life and education

Lucas was born on September 15, 1937, in Yakima, Washington, as the eldest child of Robert Emerson Lucas and Jane Templeton Lucas.[6] His parents ran an ice creamery in Yakima. After the business failed during the Great Depression, the family moved to Seattle. His mother worked a

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Robert Lucas Jr.

Lucas in 1996

Born

Robert Emerson Lucas Jr.


(1937-09-15)September 15, 1937

Yakima, Washington, U.S.

DiedMay 15, 2023(2023-05-15) (aged 85)

Chicago, Illinois, U.S.

Spouse(s)
  • Rita Cohen

    (m.1959, divorced)​
  • Nancy Stokey
Institution
FieldMacroeconomics
School or
tradition
New classical macroeconomics
Alma materUniversity of Chicago (BA, PhD)
Doctoral
advisor
Doctoral
students
  • Marcel Boyer [fr]
  • Costas Azariadis
  • Jean-Pierre Danthine
  • Boyan Jovanovic
  • Paul Romer
  • Esteban Rossi-Hansberg
  • Benjamin Moll
Contributions
  • Rational expectations
  • Lucas critique
AwardsNobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences (1995)
Information at IDEAS / RePEc

Robert Emerson Lucas Jr. (September 15, 1937 – May 15, 2023) was an American economist at the University of Chicago. Widely regarded as the central figure in the development of the new classical approach to macroeconomics, he received the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1995 "for having

 

Robert Lucas was awarded the 1995 Nobel Prize in economics “for having developed and applied the hypothesis of rational expectations, and thereby having transformed macroeconomic analysis and deepened our understanding of economic policy.” More than any other person in the period from 1970 to 2000, Robert Lucas revolutionized macroeconomic theory. His work led directly to the pathbreaking work of finn kydland and edward prescott, which won them the 2004 Nobel Prize.

Before the early 1970s, wrote Lucas, “two very different styles of macroeconomic theory, both claiming the title of Keynesian economics, co-existed.” One was an attempt to make macroeconomics fit with standard microeconomics. The problem with this was that such models could not be used to make predictions. The other style was macroeconometric models (see forecasting and econometric models) that could be fit to data and used to make predictions but that did not have a clear relationship to economic theory. Many economists were working to unify the two, but economists themselves saw the results as unsatisf

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